Stock Market Indices Prediction Using Time Series Analysis

نویسنده

  • ALINA BĂRBULESCU
چکیده

In this paper we present two non-parametric approaches used for time series analysis and modeling for a financial time series: the DJIA stock index open values. We used two recently developed algorithms and methods for time series prediction, Gene Expression Programming and Neural Networks because they are suitable for the series that present high variability, as in the present situation. After using these approaches we managed to obtain models which explain 92% of the variance in the case of GEP and 98% in the case of Multilayer Perceptron. Key-Words: Gene Expression Programming, Neural networks, time series, DJIA, evaluation, accuracy

برای دانلود رایگان متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

Stock Market Modeling Using Artificial Neural Network and Comparison with Classical Linear Models

Stock market plays an important role in the world economy. Stock market customers are interested in predicting the stock market general index price, since their income depends on this financial factor; Therefore, a reliable forecast in stock market can be extremely profitable for stockholders. Stock market prediction for financial markets has been one of the main challenges in forecasting finan...

متن کامل

A Framework for Predictive Analysis of Stock Market Indices : A Study of the Indian Auto Sector

Analysis and prediction of stock market time series data has attracted considerable interest from the research community over the last decade. Rapid development and evolution of sophisticated algorithms for statistical analysis of time series data, and availability of high-performance hardware has made it possible to process and analyze high volume stock market time series data effectively, in ...

متن کامل

Polynomial Based Functional Link Artificial Recurrent Neural Network adaptive System for predicting Indian Stocks

A low complexity Polynomial Functional link Artificial Recurrent Neural Network (PFLARNN) has been proposed for the prediction of financial time series data. Although different types of polynomial functions have been used for low complexity neural network architectures earlier for stock market prediction, a comparative study is needed to choose the optimal combinations of the nonlinear function...

متن کامل

Stock Price Prediction using Machine Learning and Swarm Intelligence

Background and Objectives: Stock price prediction has become one of the interesting and also challenging topics for researchers in the past few years. Due to the non-linear nature of the time-series data of the stock prices, mathematical modeling approaches usually fail to yield acceptable results. Therefore, machine learning methods can be a promising solution to this problem. Methods: In this...

متن کامل

Prediction of Stock Price using Particle Swarm Optimization Algorithm and Box-Jenkins Time Series

The purpose of this research is predicting the stock prices using the Particle Swarm Optimization Algorithm and Box-Jenkins method. In this way, the information of 165 corporations is collected from 2001 to 2016. Then, this research considers price to earnings per share and earnings per share as main variables. The relevant regression equation was created using two variables of earnings per sha...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

عنوان ژورنال:

دوره   شماره 

صفحات  -

تاریخ انتشار 2012